2012年5月5日土曜日

Nuclear power generation zero undermines Japanese economy(原発ゼロが日本経済をむしばむ)

If "nuclear power generation zero" to become the reality in entering periodical inspection of the nuclear power plant third unit in Hokkaido Electric Power day is prolonged, Japanese economy increases big damage. The dependence increase to thermal power generation lets financial power of a nation of more than 3 trillion yen begin to flow abroad, and it is certain that the raise of the electric bill frustrates the company activity. The voice, "I cannot but move the production base abroad" is strengthened between the companies, and the electricity shortage may lead to an irreparable result called the de-industrialization. If "nuclear power generation zero continues, Japan traces the way of the decline". The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry official is concerned about adverse effects of the electricity shortage seriously.
The nuclear power plant occupied around 30% of the generation electric energy before East Japan great earthquake disaster. A stop of the nuclear power generation continues, and the electricity companies develop a slant to thermal power generation. If nuclear power generation zero lasts one year, it is calculated as a test when the fuel costs such as oil or the liquefied natural gas (LNG) increase by 3,100 billion yen than 2010. It is the form that the financial power of a nation equal to approximately 0.6% of the gross domestic product (GDP) of Japan flows out abroad.
The increase of fuel costs is connected directly with raise of the domestic electric bill. In Tokyo Electric, it has been already announced an average of 17% of raises in a product for companies. It is 10% of courses raising in the product for families. The ordinary profit of the company of the Tokyo Electric jurisdiction decreases by approximately 390 billion yen by the test calculation of SMBC Nikko Securities, and a disadvantage of approximately 300 billion yen influences consumption of the family budget.
For the electricity companies except Tokyo Electric, the circumstances that fuel costs are heavy loads of the management are the same. "At all events a viewpoint with (person concerned with government) who comes to cannot but decide a raise" is most.
Besides, the Japanese company cannot use the electricity enough even if I receive all these damage. The prospective renewable energy cannot foresee the spread as a substitute power supply, and a new establishment of the thermal power generation takes the time of around ten years. Without nuclear power generation re-operation, chronic electricity shortage continues.
The company is pressed for correspondence such as the driving of home generation of electricity facilities in future, and the profit is pressed. I tell you, a certain major maker leader "cannot but examine the overseas move of production base seriously if the government cannot persuade the nation to nuclear power generation re-operation".
About the long-term energy policy that the government devises in this summer the Okamura president of the The Japan Chamber of Commerce and Industry "the nuclear power generation stays as a basic power supply at first even if the ratio falls than a plan". I emphasize, nuclear power generation zero does not become the solution of the best. The damage undermines Japanese economy steadily so as to be prolonged if nuclear power generation zero is prolonged.
It is necessary that big influence is given if the nuclear power plant which occupied around 30% does not operate at all. And the people accusing a de-nuclear power plant loudly are worried about there being much left-winger system. Because government in itself is left-winger system, there will be no help for it. It seems to be as it is in third class Japan less than it that a thing like the industry is destroyed from Japan if I go, and only an old person lives in. Because this will be what a Japanese citizen chose, there is no help for it. This flow will not change unless I do big switch.



北海道電力泊原子力発電所3号機の定期検査入りで現実となる「原発ゼロ」が長期化すれば、日本経済には大きなダメージが加わる。火力発電への依存度増加は3兆円超の国富を海外に流出させ、電気料金の値上げが企業活動の足を引っ張ることは確実だ。企業の間では「生産拠点を海外に移すしかない」との声も強まっており、電力不足は産業空洞化という取り返しのつかない結果につながりかねない。 「原発ゼロが続けば日本は衰退の道をたどる」。経済産業省幹部は電力不足の悪影響を真剣に懸念する。
 東日本大震災前、原発は発電電力量の3割近くを占めていた。その原発の停止が続き、電力各社は火力発電への傾斜を強めている。原発ゼロが1年間続けば、石油や液化天然ガス(LNG)などの燃料費は平成22年度よりも3・1兆円増えると試算される。日本の国内総生産(GDP)の約0・6%にあたる国富が国外に流出するかたちだ。
 燃料費の増加は国内の電気料金値上げに直結する。東電はすでに企業向けで平均17%の値上げを発表済み。家庭向けでも10%の値上げを行う方向だ。SMBC日興証券の試算では東電管内の企業の経常利益は約3900億円減り、家計の消費にも約3千億円のマイナス影響がある。
 東電以外の電力各社にとっても、燃料費が経営の重荷である事情は同じ。「いずれにしても値上げに踏み切らざるを得なくなる」(政府関係者)との見方が大半だ。
 しかもこれだけのダメージを受けても、日本企業は電力を十分に使えるわけではない。代替電源として期待される再生可能エネルギーは普及が見通せず、火力発電の新設には10年程度の時間がかかる。原発再稼働がなければ、慢性的な電力不足が続く。
 企業は今後も自家発電設備の運転などの対応を迫られ、収益は圧迫される。ある大手メーカー首脳は「政府が原発再稼働へ国民を説得できないなら、製造拠点の海外移転を真剣に検討せざるを得ない」と話す。
 政府が今夏に策定する長期のエネルギー政策について、日本商工会議所の岡村会頭は、「当初計画より比率が下がっても原発は基幹電源として残る。原発ゼロがベストという解にはならない」と強調。原発ゼロが長引けば長引くほどダメージは着実に日本経済をむしばんでいく。
 3割近くを占めていた原発が全く稼働しなくなれば大きな影響が出ることは必然的ですね。そして脱原発を声高に訴えている方々は左翼系が多いのが気になりますね。政府自体が左翼系ですからしょうがないでしょうがね。このまま行ったら日本から産業らしいものが壊滅して年寄りだけが住む三流以下の日本になってしまいそうですね。これは、日本国民が選択したことでしょうからしょうがないですね。大きな転換をしない限り、この流れは変わらないでしょうね。

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